This podcast guesting of Neal Bawa is hosted by Teresa Kuhn of the Living Wealthy Radio Show.

Data Scientist Turned Real Estate Investor

by Neal Bawa | Living Wealthy Radio Show

Real estate investing is highly risky, and most people just can’t make it work. Management and maintenance expenses eat up all the profit, and everything costs more than you expect. But today’s guest has built a real estate empire by applying his background as a data scientist. His method for selecting properties is something you’ve probably never heard of before. And surprisingly, it’s extremely simple.

What Will Happen to Multifamily if There Is a Recession

Let’s say the second half of this year (2020) there is a recession – two consecutive quarters of negative growth
- When this happens, the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates – maybe to 0%
  - It won’t help anything in the short term – it will take about 9 months to wind there way through the economy
- In the short term, rent growth will go down and owners of apartments will stop distributing money to their investors and start focusing on filling their properties
  - People are losing jobs and will actually drive demand for apartments
  - Every recession, more than a million people lose their homes
  - Apartment owners will be focused on keeping occupancy up and delinquencies down
    - Once they stabilize their properties they can pay their mortgage and wait until the end of the recession
  - After the recession ends, it will take the Federal Reserve 2 to 3 years to even think about raising interest rates
    - In 2009, it took 6 years before interest rates went back up
    - Even if the next one s mild, it should take at least 2 years to go back up
    - Apartment owners will be able to increase rents, re-finance at GREAT low interest rates and it creates great cash flow
    - Although it can work out well for apartment owners, they still much management prudently all through the recession

A Message for Californians

Californians are probably breathing a sigh of relief to think they will be OK in 2020
However, be cautious, there are other factors that could hurt investors in 2020 in California and other “rent control states”
Legislators have been trying to win people over to the idea of rent control
If you are looking to invest or already invest in California, do a Goggle search and see what is ahead for rent control on California
It is a phased approach – Legislators are fighting a war, not a battle
At least two more tiers of rent control are coming to California within the next year, year and a half
Research what is ahead before investing in California rental property
He does not see California as a good place to invest for the next 10 years
He doesn’t see a “separate California Recession” happening but the regional economics is not good at this time
Flipping may have more opportunity than long-term holds but it’s still more likely that prices will decline and not go up

MultifamilyU.com

Neal always wanted to build the “Wikipedia of Real Estate”
He wanted a place where people could do a deep-dive learning without being sold an expensive package of stuff
He does 50 deep-dive webinars there every year
Content is not just on multifamily
There’s content on self-storage, legal info, taxation, AirBNB and more
The goal is to bring in experts from all over the U.S., with a “no sales pitch” approach and leave the webinars on the site
Neal has a dozen himself and he covers multifamily and insight on key US markets

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